Bill Panetta Education
Bill Panetta has put together numerous informational forums regarding his methods of trading. Repeatedly, these methods have been proven effective.
1. 50% Rule

The 50% rule is a trailing stop loss system for momentum trading.
2. Profit management: I have a profit what should I do now?
PROFIT MANAGEMENT: boy this is a rough subject
When you have a profit there are so many things
running through your head. Your nervous your sweating
bullets.
You can talk to 10 successful traders and you might
get 10 different answers on this subject. And BTW if
any TRADERS want share there profit management
strategies with us please feel free to do so.
This is what this weekend is all about.
For me Profit Management is real simple, a lot
of it depends where I buy the stock. If I am buying
near the 5 & 10 moving averages or a stock like PLKC
a break of the 200-day moving average those are my
favorite and easy to manage.
Once I have a profit I have a lot of options:
I can sell everything because I feel it has reach
a resistance level that I thought it would not break.
HRCT was great example went right to my target of
.79-.80 area and slammed right back down.
A starbucks play for me.
You always hear this one: sell 1/2 when
you double your money:
I have a slant on this one: I sell 1/2
when I a have profit.
Again I am trying to take the emotions out trading
and this has done it for me personally.
Sell 1/2 when you have profit: what is
the theory behind it.
When you sell 1/2 when you have profit
it accomplishes one thing
immediately: it gives you a winning
trade a guaranteed profit on the trade,
and that's all I am looking for.
Examples:
PFCE: bought @ .40 sold 1/2 @.60
CYGN: Bought @.66 sold @ 1/2 .80
What does it accomplish?
1- I locked in a profit
2- I am guaranteed its a winning trade why?
Because if it came all the way back down to my
original buy price I still win.
Now here’s the beauty of the whole
thing if PFCE goes 2.00 & CYGN
goes to 5.00 guess what I win.
Then on the rest of my position all
I have to do is follow my momo guidelines:
5 & 10 day moving averages and 50% rule.
The main point of this concept is you always
put yourself in a position to have a winning trade.
It's a win win situation for me.
3. The Opening Bell by Bill Panetta
The Opening Bell by Bill Panetta
Probably the hardest part of the trading day for
most new and basically any trader is going to be the first
15 minutes of the trading day.
There are lot emotions that run high during this period.
For me personally I have always tried to find ways to try
and keep my emotions from getting out of control so I don't
make bad trades. Especially in the first 15 minutes of the day.
Through trial & error over the years I have come up with
some strategies that work for me.
THE 10-MINUTE HEAD FAKE ON THE OPEN: I am starting to see
this more and more now. This Market Maker Tactic (IMHO) is
to shake out a lot of weak longs especially in a hot stock.
I will give you to 2 great examples of this trick.
AGIS: yesterday (11-07-2003) first thing MM"s did is
they gapped it down, that was there first scare tactic.
Now what we are going to focus on is the opening price for agis.
The opening price was .271 first print of the day.
Remember stay focused on the opening print .271.
Here comes the 10-minute head fake. The stock makes
a low @ .20 in the first 10 minutes of day. I am watching
this all happen on my level 2 screen BTW. AGIS makes a
bottom at @. 20 now here is what I am looking for on a
reversal. As soon as I saw the reversal happening I started
buying in @ 23-24 and picked up 10k shares for this trade.
Remember pay attention to the opening price of .271. That is
my guide through this whole process.
Once AGIS traded through the opening price of .271
the stock exploded and within basically 1 hour of the
trade it traded as high as .75 cents. I had personally
had gotten out .70 and I was done for the day. This trade
will last usually 1 hour.
What are the key points? Stock makes a bottom in first 10 min.
then comes back and trades through and closes above .271
the opening price within about 5-10 minutes after it
making the bottom at .20. My stop loss is .20 if breaks .20
I am out for a small loss. My risk was $400.00 but my reward was
over $4500.00.
Another point I will make is I will only make this type
of a trade in a hot stock that has a lot of volume. A lot
of liquidity.
Another point is it that the stock has to be above
the 5 & 10 day moving average for this kind of trade.
It has to be in full motion.
FNIX: (11-03-03) Another great trade. The 10-minute
head fake was on this stock as well. Opening price .93
within 10 minutes makes a bottom @ .83 I buy 10K shares
@ .86 again are main focus is the opening print of .93.
The stock explodes through .93 the opening price and hits
a high of 1.19 within 1 hour of hitting a bottom. The
MM"s can kiss my butt. Money in the bank. More head fakes
please. You need to use level 2 for this type of trading,
if you don't have it get it. Risk 300.00 Reward 3,000.00
GAPS: How do you play the GAPS? Are they real or fake?
Is it really a GAP & RUN or a GAP & TRAP? These are
tough questions to figure out & answer.
For me what I look for in GAP is the strength of
the gap. Is it an outside gap or inside gap? For me
I want to see an outside gap. What is an outside gap?
A gap above the previous days high and hold it without
coming back down. For me the first 3-5 minutes of the
morning are critical on a gap. I focus intensely on
the opening price of the day and the low of the day
the first 3-5 minutes. What I am looking for on a
very strong gap is for the open & lows of the day to
either be equal or to be within 1or 2 cents of each other
and it has hold that the first 3-5 minutes.
Here’s great example
AZAA: Thursday 11-06-2003
GAP & RUN: stock closed on Wednesday @. 85,
the next day it opens @ 1.01. Strong gap. It's an
outside gap very strong. Again first thing is we look
at is the opening price of 1.01, secondly I am watching
the spread between the opening price and the low of
the day which 1.00. It held that spread for the first
3-5 minutes, bammmm
25 minutes later it hit 2.00.
The main focus was the spread between the open and the
low of the day in the first 3-5 minutes of the trading day.
If you go into this type trade or if you're in the trade
already in this scenario your stop loss becomes the low
of the day off that tight spread.
EXTI: Friday 11-06-2003: Another great trade. I made
bank on this on Friday as well.
GAP & RUN: The stock had fantastic news. Another
outside gap. The previous day close was at .84 then
opened the next day @ .89 well above previous day high
of .86. Now I am watching how it trades around the
opening price of .89. Remember everything revolves
around the opening price of the day in the first
15 minutes. Remember your watching this on your Level 2 screen.
Open is .89 now the low of the day is .885. I have
my tight spread that I am looking for in the first
3-5 minutes of the trading day, and watching this
develop with level 2. As soon as I got my tight spread
set up I bought 10k shares @. 92. All I have to do know
is make sure it does not break the low of .885 that's
my risk. In one hour it hit a high of 1.15. My exit
was .1.12. My risk was 400 my reward 2,000.00 one hours work.
**** I will only make these kinds of trades if the stock
trades above 5 & 10 moving averages.
GAP & TRAPS: The only thing I will mention about a trap
is if a the stock gaps up and stays flat for 10-15 minutes
and you see the high of the day equal to the opening
price chances are it's a trap. Another words if XYZ stock
HOD is .50 in the first 15 minutes and the opening print
is .50 and the low is .48 after 10-15 minutes and you see
it break the low. 48 watch for the trap. USXP is a great
example Friday 11-07-2003.
Other traps I see on regular basis are when I see
stocks being promoted via email by pump houses.
You get the initial gap it holds up 10-15 minutes
then comes the trap. ask your self these questions.
Does it trade at least above the 32, 10, 5 daily
moving averages, at least you know it’s an up trend.
If not, don't touch it.
This should help you guys understand the opening bell a little better.
4. 200 Day Moving Average Bottom Play
Read about 200 Day Moving Average Bottom Play and view charts.
5. How to Spot a Bottom in an Up Trend
Read about How to Spot a Bottom in an Up Trend and view charts.
6. On Balance Volume Indicator
Read about On Balance Volume Indicator and view charts.
7. Stocks That Make Explosive Moves Stochastics
Read about Stocks That Make Explosive Moves Stochastics and view charts.
8. Penny Stock Market Makers Who Are the Players in this Game
By Bill Panetta
Let Me Start off by saying this: Level 2 Does not have the same effect like it did 5 years ago except for OTCBB Stocks & Pink Sheet Stocks. What Do I mean By This? NASDAQ is all chart plays, level 2 has no meaning as it once did for NASDAQ Stocks, and too many games can be played now on level 2. Simply put if you don't know how to read the charts you will get killed on NASDAQ Stocks.
With all the changes on Level 2 Traders have been forced to learn TA, You could had a made a killing with level 2 before 2001 with out TA; I have witnesses that have proven this.
And when I make this comment I am talking about regular trading hours, after hour's different story. Bottom Line Level 2 does not have the same effect on NASDAQ Stocks that it did 5 years ago because of the New Super Soes Trading System being implemented in 2001 and along with 1 cent spreads, it was the worst thing NASDAQ ever did for traders IMO. The Traders from 5 yrs ago know what I am talking about.
Let's talk about the 2 exchanges where Level 2 has not changed and having level 2 is really important to your trading. I am talking about The OTCBB & PINKSHEET Markets.
If you learn how to read into Level 2 on the OTCBB & PINK SHEETS it will really enhance your trading. Let's break down the Market Markets.
There are 2 categories of Market Makers let's talking about the first one.
Retail Market Makers:
These are the market makers from very popular brokerage firms. They handle a lot of the order flow for small retail investors.
NITE: NITE
SCHB: Schwab
TDCM: TD Water House
SBSH: Smith Barney
MLCO: Merrill Lynch
ETRD: ETRADE
GSCO: Goldman Sachs: New Kid on the Block, very active lately.
This is the list that you really have master because these are the MARKET MAKERS that handle promotions, insider transactions also S-8 and CD Transaction.
CD: means Convertible Debentures they are loans the come due and get sold into the market by the loaning company.
There are lot market makers in this category so I will break it down to who are the most important: These are some of the more active MARKET MARKET MAKERS on the street:
FANC: major S- 8 player: if there is an S- 8 on a Stock most likely he will be there on the ask until it dries up
HDSN: major CD Seller Handles a lot CD transactions.
VIEW: love when he’s on the bid
DOMS
MAXM: one of favorites: smart money more like a trader than market maker replaces GNLN for now.
VERT:
CLYP: heavy seller if you see him on the bid it's unusual
HILL:
FLCR:
SACM: love when he’s on the bid
JEFF:
VFIN:
AYME:
STCS:
ABLE: like when he’s on the bid
PBLC
VFIN
PERT
BKST
BNCH
ECN MARKET MAKERS
ARCA (formally GNET): very active used by traders market makers any one can use ARCA you have to know what your are doing. If you have access to ACRA trading system you can use the ecn.
TRAC: owned by my track if you trade with my track you can use this to place your trade as a liquidity outlet same 4 data
DATA: owned by my track same concept as GNET & TRAC
There are probably a few market makers that I left out or there will a few new market makers that show but for the most part these are the major players. Good luck hopes this helps.
Bill
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